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762(1): 大家 (ワッチョイ 73c3-dC/H) 08/20(水)17:47 ID:/dJtD+QA0(1/3) AAS
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実現可能な気候政策に向けて:可能なことを実行に移す
Tackling climate change has never been a simple task. Transforming the planet’s energy system and phasing out fossil fuels—upon which billions depend—was always going to generate resistance. Yet today, the challenge seems especially daunting.
In the United States, efforts to reduce carbon emissions are being rolled back. On July 29, the Environmental Protection Agency announced it would relinquish key regulatory powers over greenhouse gases, continuing a pattern set by President Donald Trump’s administration. Meanwhile, climate science itself faces open hostility. Across the Atlantic, Europe’s response to Russia’s war in Ukraine has led to rising military expenditures, leaving fewer resources for green initiatives. Political opposition to climate policies is resurfacing, with some voters viewing emissions cuts as either too expensive or unfair. In developing nations, resentment grows over green mandates perceived as foreign impositions, often blind to local energy needs. Sensing political backlash, many corporations have gone quiet about their climate efforts, even as some continue them privately.
Despite these political headwinds, technological progress in clean energy is accelerating. Solar, wind, and battery costs continue to drop, making renewables increasingly competitive. More nations are installing green infrastructure, and the private sector is still investing in alternatives to fossil fuels. The technical capacity to decarbonize large parts of the global economy is better than ever.
But the core issue remains political. Many people feel alienated by climate targets, especially the “net zero” commitments that dominate national strategies. Some see themselves as being unfairly burdened—paying higher costs while others emit freely. The perception that China, now the world’s largest emitter, is outpacing Europe and America in emissions only deepens resentment among Western voters.
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763: 大家 (ワッチョイ 73c3-dC/H) 08/20(水)17:48 ID:/dJtD+QA0(2/3) AAS
When a goal fails to win broad support, it needs rethinking. Simply abandoning climate targets would be counterproductive, disheartening environmental advocates and empowering denialists. A better approach might be to treat these targets as flexible frameworks rather than rigid deadlines. As the 19th-century German statesman Otto von Bismarck once observed, politics is “the art of the possible.” Climate strategy must reflect that realism.
Some leaders are adapting to this logic. In Canada, Prime Minister Mark Carney—a former central banker—recognizes that taxing carbon is the most efficient way to reduce emissions. Yet because carbon pricing can be unpopular, especially when it directly affects consumers, his government has scaled back its more burdensome elements.
Many governments have turned to subsidies to drive the clean transition. In some cases, this has worked well. Incentives for wind, solar, and batteries have stimulated demand, boosted production, and driven costs lower. These technologies are now mature enough that market forces alone may continue to lower their prices. Even without robust federal climate support, the United States will likely see emissions continue to fall, albeit at a slower pace.
Still, subsidies can distort markets and often reduce emissions less efficiently than carbon pricing. Policymakers should eliminate subsidies that encourage fossil fuel consumption, while introducing carbon pricing mechanisms in ways that minimize direct burdens on consumers.
Efforts to make climate action more politically viable should focus on reducing the disruption it causes to everyday life. For example, people should not be pressured to install heat pumps if there are not enough trained technicians. Switching to electric vehicles should be made easier through expanded charging infrastructure and imports of affordable EVs from places like China. Climate adaptation strategies should also reflect public concerns. French populist Marine Le Pen recently resonated with voters by criticizing the inequality of access to air conditioning during heat waves.
764(1): 大家 (ワッチョイ 73c3-dC/H) 08/20(水)17:50 ID:/dJtD+QA0(3/3) AAS
In the United States, Trump’s return to the presidency may turn the country into a global outlier. While some clean energy technologies, like advanced geothermal or even fusion, enjoy bipartisan support, Trump’s broader hostility to climate policy will set back progress. As energy demand increases—especially with the rise of AI and its intensive power needs—Americans may face higher prices and stalled investment in renewables. Ambitions to build a competitive American green industry could falter.
Nevertheless, most people still prefer clean air to pollution and a hopeful future over a dangerous one. These basic preferences can form the emotional backbone of climate messaging. Instead of emphasizing abstract targets or distant deadlines, policymakers should tell stories of progress, independence from fossil-fuel price shocks, and shared prosperity. Campaigns framed around tangible improvements tend to resonate better than technocratic pledges.
In that spirit, a politics grounded in the possible—rather than the ideal—can provide a more durable path forward. It allows space for both ambition and compromise. And it offers something desperately needed in today’s climate debate: hope.
次の課題
Still, subsidies can distort markets and often reduce emissions less efficiently than carbon pricing. Policymakers should eliminate subsidies that encourage fossil fuel consumption, while introducing carbon pricing mechanisms in ways that minimize direct burdens on consumers.
Efforts to make climate action more politically viable should focus on reducing the disruption it causes to everyday life. For example, people should not be pressured to install heat pumps if there are not enough trained technicians. Switching to electric vehicles should be made easier through expanded charging infrastructure and imports of affordable EVs from places like China. Climate adaptation strategies should also reflect public concerns. French populist Marine Le Pen recently resonated with voters by criticizing the inequality of access to air conditioning during heat waves.
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