[過去ログ] 【フィリピン】アロヨ大統領 元政敵のポー氏を国家芸術家に認定[05/25] (372レス)
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15: <丶`∀´> 2006/05/28(日) 17:11:40 ID:Mm9GNRki(9/12)調 AAS
>>14
このE&Yの報告書は優れていて、「各国別不良債権総額」のグラフの右側には
「各国の金融機関の資産総額」のグラフを掲載している。
金融機関の資産総額は、日本=$11600B、ドイツ=$9100B,中国=$4800B、インド=$550B
程度なので >>14 の不良債権総額は、この資産総額との比率で考えなくてはならない。
中国の金融機関は、その資産総額が日本の2.42分の一に過ぎないけれど、不良債権は6.53倍
なので、深刻さは15倍くらいになることに。同じ計算で中国はドイツの5.3倍くらい悪い。
各国の不良債権へのE&Yの総合的な評価は:
<China>
China has invested heavily in recapitalizing its state banks in preparation for 2007,
when foreign investors will be allowed unrestricted access into China’s banking
industry. After a slow start, China’s NPL disposition process has accelerated in
response to the plans of some banks to go public and the entrance of foreign investors
into the banking sector. But China’s banks still have a substantial backlog of legacy
NPLs on their books. In addition, there is the question of whether another wave of
NPLs may hit China’s banks, the result of aggressive lending in a superheated
property market.
<Japan>
For more than a decade, Japan’s economy and NPL market stagnated. But in the
past few years, Japanese banks have reduced their NPLs by 50%. And with Japan’s
economy finally recovering, more global investors plan to enter the Japanese market.
In a sign that the market has matured, investors are shifting their focus from NPLs to
other assets.
<Germany>
Like China, Germany started slowly in dealing with its NPL problems, but now has
an active NPL market. As of February 2006 , international investors had closed on no
fewer than 25 sales totaling at least ?24 billion (U.S. $28.8 billion), with more transactions
in progress. Strong sales activity is expected through 2007 as German banks
continue to be aggressive in cleaning up their balance sheets. Looming bank consolidation
will also play a part.
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